
The perils of forecasting and the need for a disciplined investment process
Key points The increasing noise around global economies and investment markets since the global financial crisis highlights the need for investors to have a disciplined approach to investing. Economic and investment forecasts are often seen as central to investing, but while they can be useful they should be treated with caution and are no substitute for having a disciplined approach to investing. >> Read Full Article

The Trump bump and shares – short-term risks, but five reasons for optimism
The Trump bump and shares - short-term risks, but five reasons for optimism
Shane Oliver, Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist.
The attached note looks at the political risks around President Trump and the risk of a correction in share markets generally. The key points are as follows: The political scandal around President Trump is likely to speed up rather than stop his pro-business reforms. However, after a strong run, shares remain vulnerable to a short-term c

The Harvest - Autumn 2017
Welcome to the Autumn edition of Harvest Wealth Services newsletter. The Federal Budget has come and gone without too many nasty surprise (unless you
are a major bank!) We will now have to wait to see what actually gets passed through
parliament. Our articles cover a range of topics which we hope you find interesting. We aim to keep
you informed of changes as they happen, but we also want to provide ideas to help you
live the life you want – now and in the future. In this

Three reasons why the risks for the Australian dollar are still on the downside
Key points The closure of speculative short positions in the $A, a bounce in commodity prices, delays in Fed rate hikes and expectations the next interest rate move by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is up, have stabilised the $A over the last year. The downtrend in the $A will likely resume as commodity prices remain subdued, the interest rate differential in favour of the $A narrows to zero and goes negative and as now-long speculative positions reverse. Expect a fall b

The 2017-18 Australian Federal Budget
View Dr Shane Oliver's summary of the 2017-18 Budget and read about key measures announced last night. >>View here